The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has just published a monograph studying the demography of education. Under the title “Higher Education to 2030”, this 300 pages document (read only document) summarizes the next tends:
As regards students:
- student participation will continue to expand and will in most cases be evident from grown in the size of higher education systems. Contraction will affect only a small number of countries;
- Women will be in the majority in the student population;
- The mix of the student population will be more varied, with greater numbers of international students, older students and those studying part-time, etc;
- The social base in higher education will probably continue to broaden, along with uncertainly about this will affect inequalities of educational opportunity between social groups;
- Novel students and assumptions regarding access to higher education will emerge and be more concerned with real student attainment, reflecting trends in access policies for students with disabilities;
- Changes will occur in issues and policies relating the access the flight to reduce inequality, as well as some broadening and changes among the groups concerned, depending on the particular country.
As regards teachers:
- The academic profession will be more internationally oriented and mobile, but still structured in accordance with national circunstances;
- The activities of the profession will be more diversified and specialised, and subject to varied employment contracts;
- The profession will be more gradually away from the traditional conception of a self-regulated community of professionals, and towards a model of consensus to be based on fresh principles.
Via Tim Unwin blog.